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ens;there has an ulterior oracular point disclosed itself to Friedrich; in vaguer condition; but not less indubitable; and much more perilous: namely; That now; at last (end of 1755); the Two Imperial Majesties; very eager both; consider that the time is come。 And areas Friedrich looks abroad on the Austrian…Russian marchings of troops; campings; and unusual military symptoms and combinationsvisibly preparing to that end。

〃They have agreed to attack me next Year (1756); if they can; and next again (1757); without IF:〃 so Friedrich; putting written word and public occurrence together; gradually reads; and so; all readers will see; the fact was;though Imperial Majesty at Schonbrunn; as we shall find; strove to deny it when applied to; and scouted; as mere fiction and imagination; the notion of such an 〃Agreement。〃 Which I infer; therefore; NOT to have existed in parchment; not in parchment; but only in reality; and as a mutual Bond registered inshall we say 〃in Heaven〃; as some are wont? registered; perhaps; in TWO Places; very separate indeed! No truer 〃Agreement〃 ever did exist;though a devout Imperial Majesty denies it; who would shudder at the lie direct。

Poor Imperial Majesty: who can tell her troubles and straits in this abstruse time! Heaven itself ordering her to get back the Silesia of her Fathers; if she could;yet Heaven always looking dubious; surely; upon this method of doing it。 By solemn Public Treaties signed in sight of all mankind; and contrariwise; in the very same moments; by Secret Treaties; of a fell nature; concocted underground; to destroy the life of these! Imperial Majesty flatters herself it may be fair: 〃Treaty of Dresden; Treaty of Aix…la…Chapelle; Treaties wrung from me by force; the tyrannic Sea…Powers screwing us; Kaunitz can tell! A consummate Kaunitz; who has provided remedies。 Treaties do get broken。 Besides; I will not go to War; unless HE the Bad One of Prussia do!〃Alas; your noble Majesty; plain it at least is; your love of Silesia is very strong。 And consummate Kaunitz and it have led you into strange predicaments。 The Pompadour; for instance: who was it that answered; 〃JE NE LA CONNAIS PAS; I don't know her; I〃? How gladly would the Imperial Maria Theresa; soul of Propriety; have made that answer! But she did not; she had to answer differently。 For Kaunitz was imperative: 〃A kind little Note to the Pompadour; one; and then another and another; it is indispensable; your Imperial Majesty!〃 And Imperial Majesty always had to do it。 And there exist in writing; at this hour; various flattering little Notes from Imperial Majesty to that Address; which begin; 〃MA COUSINE;〃 〃PRINCESSE ET COUSINE;〃 say many witnesses; nay 〃MADAME MA TRES CHERE SOEUR;〃 says one good witness: 'Hormayr (cited in Preuss; i。 433 n。;as are Duclos; Montgaillard; MEMOIRES DE RICHELIEU; &c。'Notes which ought to have been printed; before this; or given at least to the Museums。 〃My Cousin;〃 〃Princess and Cousin;〃 〃Madame my dearest Sister:〃 Oh; high Imperial Soul; with what strange bed…fellows does Misery of various kinds bring us acquainted!

Friedrich was blamably imprudent in regard to Pompadour; thinks Valori: 〃A little complaisance might have〃what might it not have done!〃But his Prussian Majesty would not。 And while the Ministers of all the other Powers〃 allied with France 〃went assiduously to pay their court to Madame; the Baron von Knyphausen alone; by his Master's order; never once went '〃Don't! JE NE LA CONNAIS PAS〃'; while the Empress…Queen was writing her the most flattering letters。 The Prince of Prussia; King's eldest Brother; wished ardently to obtain her Portrait; and had applied to me for it; as had Prince Henri to my Predecessor。 The King; who has such gallant and seductive ways when he likes; could certainly have reconciled this celebrated Lady〃;a highly important Improper Female to him and others。 'Valori; i。 320。'

Yes; but he quite declined; not counting the costs。 Costs may be immediate; profits are remote;remote; but sure。 Costs did indeed prove considerable; perhaps far beyond his expectation; though; I flatter myself; they never awoke much remorse in him; on that score!

Friedrich's Enigma; towards the end of 1755 and onwards; is becoming frightfully stringent; and the solution; 〃What practically will be the wise course for me?〃 does not lessen in abstruse intricacy; but the reverse; as it grows more pressing。 A very stormy and dubious Future; truly! Two circumstances in it will be highly determinative: one of them evident to Friedrich; the other unknown to him; and to all mortals; except two or three。 FIRST;

That there will be an English…French War straightway; and that; as usual; the French; weaker at sea; will probably attack Hanover; that is to say; bring the War home to one's own door; and ripen into fulfilment those Austrian…Russian Plots。 This is the evident circumstance; fast coming on; visible to Friedrich and to everybody。 But that; in such event; Austria will join; not with England; but with France: this is a SECOND circumstance; guessable by nobody; known only to Kaunitz and a select one or two; but which also will greatly complicate Friedrich's position; and render his Enigma indeed astonishingly intricate; as well as stringent for solution!



Chapter II。

ENGLISH DIPLOMACIES ABROAD; IN PROSPECT OF A FRENCH WAR。

Britannic Majesty; I know not at what date; but before the launching of that poor Braddock thunder…bolt; much more after the tragic explosion it made; had felt that French War was nearly inevitable; and also that the French method would be; as heretofore; to attack Hanover; and wound him in that tender part。 There goes on; accordingly; a lively Foreign Diplomatizing; on his Majesty's part; at present;in defect; almost total; of Domestic Preparation; military and other;Majesty and Ministers expecting salvation from abroad; as usual。 Military preparation does lag at a shameful rate: but; on the other hand; there is a great deal of pondering; really industrious considering and contriving; about Foreign Allies; and their subsidies and engagements。 That step; for example; the questionable Seizure of the French Ships WITHOUT Declaration of War; was a contrivance by diplomatic Heads (of bad quality): 〃Seize their ships;〃 said some bad Head; after meditating; 〃put their ships in SEQUESTRATION; till they do us justice。 If they won't; and go to War;then THEY are the Aggressors; not we; and our Allies have to send their auxiliary quotas; as per contract!〃 So the Ships were seized; held in sequestration; 〃till many of the cargoes (being perishable goods; some even fish) rotted。〃 'Smollett's  History of England;  &c。 &c。' And in return; as will be seen; not one auxiliary came to hand: so that the diplomatic Head had his rotted cargoes; and much public obloquy; for his pains。 Not a fortunate stroke of business; that!

Britannic Majesty; on applying at Vienna (through Keith; Sir or Mr。 Robert Keith; the FIRST Excellency of that name; for there are two; a father and a son; both Vienna Excellencies); was astonished to learn That; in such event of an Aggression; even on Hanover; there was no co…operation to be looked for here。 Altogether cold on that subject; her Imperial Majesty seems; regardless of Excellency Keith's remonstrances and urgencies; and; in the end; is flatly negatory: 〃Cannot do it; your Excellency; times so perilous; bad King of Prussia so minatory;〃not to mention; SOTTO VOCE that we have turned on our axis; and the wind (thanks to Kaunitz) no longer hits us on the same cheek as formerly!

〃Cannot? Will not?〃 Britannic Majesty may well stare; wide…eyed; remembering such gigantic Subsidizings and Alcides Labors; Dettingens; Fontenoys; on the per…contra side。 But so stands the fact: 〃No help from an ungrateful Vienna;quick; then; seek elsewhere!〃 And Hanbury and the Continental British Excellencies have to bestir themselves as they never did。 Especially Hanbury; who is directed upon Russia;whom alone of these Excellencies it is worth while to follow for a moment。 Russia; on fair subsidy; yielded us a 35;000 last War (willingly granted; most useful; though we had no fighting out of them; mere terror of them being enough): beyond all things; let Hanbury do his best in Russia!

Hanbury; cheerfully confident; provides himself with the requisites; store of bribe…money as the chief;at Warsaw withal; he picks up one Poniatowski (airy sentimental coxcomb; rather of dissolute habits; handsomest and windiest of young Polacks): 〃Good for a Lover to the Grand…Duchess; this one!〃 thinks Hanbury。 Which proved true; and had its uses for Hanbury;Grand…Duchess and Grand…Duke (Catherine and Peter; whom we saw wedded twelve years ago; Heirs…Apparent of this Russian Chaos) being an abstrusely situated pair of Spouses; well capable of something political; in private ways; in such a scene of affairs; and Catherine; who is an extremely clever creature; being out of a lover just now。 A fine scene for the Diplomatist; this Russia at present。 Nowhere in the world can you do so much with bribery; quite a standing item; and financial necessary…of…life to Officials of the highest rank there; as Hanbury well knows。 'His Letters (in Raumer); PASSIM。' That of Poniatowski proved

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