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September; Sherman; victorious; entered Atlanta。



Chapter VIII。 A Game Of Chance

With dramatic completeness in the summer and autumn of 1864; the
foundations of the Confederate hope one after another gave way。
Among the causes of this catastrophe was the failure of the
second great attempt on the part of the Confederacy to secure
recognition abroad。 The subject takes us back to the latter days
of 1862; when the center of gravity in foreign affairs had
shifted from London to Paris。 Napoleon III; at the height of his
strange career; playing half a dozen dubious games at once; took
up a new pastime and played at intrigue with the Confederacy。 In
October he accorded a most gracious interview to Slidell。 He
remarked that his sympathies were entirely with the South but
added that; if he acted alone; England might trip him up。 He
spoke of his scheme for joint intervention by England; France;
and Russia。 Then he asked why we had not created a navy。 Slidell
snapped at the bait。 He said that the Confederates would be glad
to build ships in France; that 〃if the Emperor would give only
some kind of verbal assurance that the police would not observe
too closely when we wished to put on guns and men we would gladly
avail ourselves of it。〃 To this; the imperial trickster replied;
〃Why could you not have them built as for the Italian Government?
I do not think it would be difficult but will consult the
Minister of Marine about it。〃

Slidell left the Emperor's presence confident that things would
happen。 And they did。 First came Napoleon's proposal of
intervention; which was declined before the end of the year by
England and Russia。 Then came his futile overtures to the
Government at Washington; his offer of mediationwhich was
rejected early in 1863。 But Slidell remained confident that
something else would happen。 And in this expectation also he was
not disappointed。 The Emperor was deeply involved in Mexico and
was busily intriguing throughout Europe。 This was the time when
Erlanger; standing high in the favor of the Emperor; made his
gambler's proposal to the Confederate authorities about cotton。
Another of the Emperor's friends now enters the play。 On January
7; 1863; M。 Arman; of Bordeaux; 〃the largest shipbuilder in
France;〃 had called on the Confederate commissioner: M。 Arman
would be happy to build ironclad ships for the Confederacy; and
as to paying for them; cotton bonds might do the trick。

No wonder Slidell was elated; so much so that he seems to have
given little heed to the Emperor's sinister intimation that the
whole affair must be subterranean。 But the wily Bonaparte had not
forgotten that six months earlier he had issued a decree of
neutrality forbidding Frenchmen to take commissions from either
belligerent 〃for the armament of vessels of war or to accept
letters of marque; or to cooperate in any way whatsoever in the
equipment or arming of any vessel of war or corsair of either
belligerent。〃 He did not intend to abandon publicly this cautious
attitudeat least; not for the present。 And while Slidell at
Paris was completely taken in; the cooler head of A。 Dudley Mann;
Confederate commissioner at Brussels; saw what an international
quicksand was the favor of Napoleon。 It was about this time that
Napoleon; having dispatched General Forey with a fresh army to
Mexico; wrote the famous letter which gave notice to the world of
what he was about。 Mann wrote home in alarm that the Emperor
might be expected to attempt recovering Mexico's ancient areas
including Texas。 Slidell saw in the Forey letter only 〃views。。。
which will not be gratifying to the Washington Government。〃

The adroit Arman; acting on hints from high officers of the
Government; applied for permission to build and arm ships of war;
alleging that he intended to send them to the Pacific and sell
them to either China or Japan。 To such a laudable expression of
commercial enterprise; one of his fellows in the imperial ring;
equipped with proper authority under Bonaparte; hastened to give
official approbation; and Erlanger came forward by way of
financial backer。 There were conferences of Confederate agents;
contracts were signed; plans were agreed upon; and the work was
begun。

There was no more hopeful man in the Confederate service than
Slidell when; in the full flush of pride after Chancellorsville;
he appealed to the Emperor to cease waiting on other powers and
recognize the Confederacy。 Napoleon accorded another gracious
interview but still insisted that it was impossible for him to
act alone。 He said that he was 〃more fully convinced than ever of
the propriety of a general recognition by the European powers of
the Confederate States but that the commerce of France and the
interests of the Mexican expedition would be jeopardized by a
rupture with the United States〃 and unless England would stand
by him he dared not risk such an eventuality。 In point of fact;
he was like a speculator who is 〃hedging〃 on the stock exchange;
both buying and selling; and trying to make up his mind on which
cast to stake his fortune。 At the same time he threw out once
more the sinister caution about the ships。 He said that the
ships might be built in France but that their destination must
be concealed。

That Napoleon's choice just then; if England had supported him;
would have been recognition of the Confederacy; cannot be
doubted。 The tangle of intrigue which he called his foreign
policy was not encouraging。 He was deeply involved in Italian
politics; where the daring of Garibaldi had reopened the struggle
between clericals and liberals。 In France itself the struggle
between parties was keen。 Here; as in the American imbroglio; he
found it hard to decide with which party to break。 The chimerical
scheme of a Latin empire in Mexico was his spectacular device to
catch the imagination; and incidentally the pocketbook; of
everybody。 But in order to carry out this enterprise he must be
able to avert or withstand the certain hostility of the United
States。 Therefore; as he told Slidell; 〃no other power than
England possessed a sufficient navy〃 to pull his chestnuts out
of the fire。 The moment was auspicious; for there was a revival
of the 〃Southern party〃 in England。 The sailing of the Alabama 
from Liverpool during the previous summer had encouraged the
Confederate agents and their British friends to undertake
further shipbuilding。

While M。 Arman was at work in France; the Laird Brothers were at
work in England and their dockyards contained two ironclad rams
supposed to outclass any vessels of the United States navy。
Though every effort had been made to keep secret the ultimate
destination of these rams; the vigilance of the United States
minister; reinforced by the zeal of the 〃Northern party;〃
detected strong circumstantial evidence pointing toward a
Confederate contract with the Lairds。 A popular agitation ensued
along with demands upon the Government to investigate。 To mask
the purposes of the Lairds; Captain James Bullock; the able
special agent of the Confederate navy; was forced to fall lack
upon the same tactics that were being used across the Channel;
and to sell the rams; on paper; to a firm in France。 Neither he
nor Slidell yet appreciated what a doubtful refuge was the shadow
of Napoleon's wing。

Nevertheless the British Government; by this time practically
alined with the North; continued its search for the real owner of
the Laird rams。 The 〃Southern party;〃 however; had not quite
given up hope; and the agitation to prevent the sailing of the
rams was a keen spur to its flagging zeal。 Furthermore the
prestige of Lee never was higher than it was in June; 1863; when
the news of Chancellorsville was still fresh and resounding in
every mind。 It had given new life to the Confederate hope: Lee
would take Washington before the end of the summer; the Laird
rams would go to sea; the Union would be driven to the wall。 So
reasoned the ardent friends of the South。 But one thing was
lackinga European alliance。 What a time for England to
intervene!

While Slidell was talking with the Emperor; he had in his pocket
a letter from J。 A。 Roebuck; an English politician who wished to
force the issue in the House of Commons。 As a preliminary to
moving the recognition of the Confederacy; he wanted authority to
deny a rumor going the rounds in London; to the effect that
Napoleon had taken position against intervention。 Napoleon; when
he had seen the letter; began a negotiation of some sort with
this politician。 It is needless to enter into the complications
that ensued; the subsequent recriminations; and the question as
to just what Napoleon promised at this time and how many of his
promises he broke。 He was a diplomat of the old school; the
school of lying as a fine art。 He permitted Roebuck to come over
to Paris for an audience; and Roebuck went away with the
impression that Napoleon could be relied upon to back up a new
movement for recognition。 When; however; Roebuck brought the
matter before the Commons at the end of the month and encountered
an opposition from the Government that seemed to imply an
understanding with Napoleon which was different from h

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