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earthquake arise; and shake and tumble my house about my
ears。 I shall therefore change the suppositions。 I shall say
that I know with certainty that he is not to put his hand
into the fire and hold it there till it be consumed: And
this event; I think I can foretell with the same assurance;
as that; if he throw himself out at the window; and meet
with no obstruction; he will not remain a moment suspended
in the air。 No suspicion of an unknown frenzy can give the
least possibility to the former event; which is so contrary
to all the known principles of human nature。 A man who at
noon leaves his purse full of gold on the pavement at
Charing…Cross; may as well expect that it will fly away like
a feather; as that he will find it untouched an hour after。
Above one half of human reasonings contain inferences of a
similar nature; attended with more or less degrees of
certainty proportioned to our experience of the usual
conduct of mankind in such particular situations。

     I have frequently considered; what could possibly be
the reason why all mankind; though they have ever; without
hesitation; acknowledged the doctrine of necessity in their
whole practice and reasoning; have yet discovered such a
reluctance to acknowledge it in words; and have rather shown
a propensity; in all ages; to profess the contrary opinion。
The matter; I think; may be accounted for after the
following manner。 If we examine the operations of body; and
the production of effects from their causes; we shall find
that all our faculties can never carry us farther in our
knowledge of this relation than barely to observe that
particular objects are  together; and
that the mind is carried; by a ; from
the appearance of one to the belief of the other。 But though
this conclusion concerning human ignorance be the result of
the strictest scrutiny of this subject; men still entertain
a strong propensity to believe that they penetrate farther
into the powers of nature; and perceive something like a
necessary connexion between the cause and the effect。 When
again they turn their reflections towards the operations of
their own minds; and  no such connexion of the motive
and the action; they are thence apt to suppose; that there
is a difference between the effects which result from
material force; and those which arise from thought and
intelligence。 But being once convinced that we know nothing
farther of causation of any kind than merely the  of objects; and the consequent  of
the mind from one to another; and finding that these two
circumstances are universally allowed to have place in
voluntary actions; we may be more easily led to own the same
necessity common to all causes。 And though this reasoning
may contradict the systems of many philosophers; in
ascribing necessity to the determinations of the will; we
shall find; upon reflection; that they dissent from it in
words only; not in their real sentiment。 Necessity;
according to the sense in which it is here taken; has never
yet been rejected; nor can ever; I think; be rejected by any
philosopher。 It may only; perhaps; be pretended that the
mind can perceive; in the operations of matter; some farther
connexion between the cause and effect; and connexion that
has not place in voluntary actions of intelligent beings。
Now whether it be so or not; can only appear upon
examination; and it is incumbent on these philosophers to
make good their assertion; by defining or describing that
necessity; and pointing it out to us in the operations of
material causes。

     It would seem; indeed; that men begin at the wrong end
of this question concerning liberty and necessity; when they
enter upon it by examining the faculties of the soul; the
influence of the understanding; and the operations of the
will。 Let them first discuss a more simple question; namely;
the operations of body and of brute unintelligent matter;
and try whether they can there form any idea of causation
and necessity; except that of a constant conjunction of
objects; and subsequent inference of the mind from one to
another。 If these circumstances form; in reality; the whole
of that necessity; which we conceive in matter; and if these
circumstances be also universally acknowledged to take place
in the operations of the mind; the dispute is at an end; at
least; must be owned to be thenceforth merely verbal。 But as
long as we will rashly suppose; that we have some farther
idea of necessity and causation in the operations of
external objects; at the same time; that we can find nothing
farther in the voluntary actions of the mind; there is no
possibility of bringing the question to any determinate
issue; while we proceed upon so erroneous a supposition。 The
only method of undeceiving us is to mount up higher; to
examine the narrow extent of science when applied to
material causes; and to convince ourselves that all we know
of them is the constant conjunction and inference above
mentioned。 We may; perhaps; find that it is with difficulty
we are induced to fix such narrow limits to human
understanding: But we can afterwards find no difficulty when
we come to apply this doctrine to the actions of the will。
For as it is evident that these have a regular conjunction
with motives and circumstances and characters; and as we
always draw inferences from one to the other; we must be
obliged to acknowledge in words that necessity; which we
have already avowed; in every deliberation of our lives; and
in every step of our conduct and behaviour。'22'

     But to proceed in this reconciling project with regard
to the question of liberty and necessity; the most
contentious question of metaphysics; the most contentious
science; it will not require many words to prove; that all
mankind have ever agreed in the doctrine of liberty as well
as in that of necessity; and that the whole dispute; in this
respect also; has been hitherto merely verbal。 For what is
meant by liberty; when applied to voluntary actions? We
cannot surely mean that actions have so little connexion
with motives; inclinations; and circumstances; that one does
not follow with a certain degree of uniformity from the
other; and that one affords no inference by which we can
conclude the existence of the other。 For these are plain and
acknowledged matters of fact。 By liberty; then; we can only
mean ; this is; if we choose to remain
at rest; we may; if we choose to move; we also may。 Now this
hypothetical liberty is universally allowed to belong to
every one who is not a prisoner and in chains。 Here; then;
is no subject of dispute。

     Whatever definition we may give of liberty; we should
be careful to observe two requisite circumstances; ;
that it be consistent with plain matter of fact; ;
that it be consistent with itself。 If we observe these
circumstances; and render our definition intelligible; I am
persuaded that all mankind will be found of one opinion with
regard to it。

     It is universally allowed that nothing exists without a
cause of its existence; and that chance; when strictly
examined; is a mere negative word; and means not any real
power which has anywhere a being in nature。 But it is
pretended that some causes are necessary; some not
necessary。 Here then is the advantage of definitions。 Let
any one  a cause; without comprehending; as a part
of the definition; a  with its effect;
and let him show distinctly the origin of the idea;
expressed by the definition; and I shall readily give up the
whole controversy。 But if the foregoing explication of the
matter be received; this must be absolutely impracticable。
Had not objects a regular conjunction with each other; we
should never have entertained any notion of cause and
effect; and this regular conjunction produces that inference
of the understanding; which is the only connexion; that we
can have any comprehension of。 Whoever attempts a definition
of cause; exclusive of these circumstances; will be obliged
either to employ unintelligible terms or such as are
synonymous to the term which he endeavours to define。'23'
And if the definition above mentioned be admitted; liberty;
when opposed to necessity; not to constraint; is the same
thing with chance; which is universally allowed to have no
existence。
                              
                          * * * *
                              
                          PART II。
                              
     T/HERE is no method of reasoning more common; and yet
none more blameable; than; in philosophical disputes; to
endeavour the refutation of any hypothesis; by a pretence of
its dangerous consequences to religion and morality。 When
any opinion leads to absurdities; it is certainly false; but
it is not certain that an opinion is false; because it is of
dangerous consequence。 Such topics; therefore; ought
entirely to be forborne; as serving nothing to the discovery
of truth; but only to make the person of an antagonist
odious。 This I observe in genera

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